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Tropical Depression KRISTY


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
0300 UTC THU SEP 07 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 166N 1305W 34 16   5(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 12 166N 1305W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 166N 1305W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 167N 1325W 34  1  15(16)   6(22)   X(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 24 167N 1325W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 167N 1325W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 168N 1343W 34  X   3( 3)  11(14)   5(19)   1(20)   X(20)   1(21)
 36 168N 1343W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 168N 1343W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 169N 1362W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   5(18)   1(19)   X(19)
 48 169N 1362W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 169N 1362W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 170N 1395W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   3(13)   1(14)
 72 170N 1395W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 72 170N 1395W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 170N 1425W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)
 96 170N 1425W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 170N 1425W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 170N 1450W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
120 170N 1450W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 170N 1450W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      30      30      30      25      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC