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Hurricane JOHN


ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOHN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
1100 PM PDT THU AUG 31 2006
 
...JOHN HEADING FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
...WARNINGS ALONG MAINLAND MEXICO DISCONTINUED...

AT 11 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS AND THE
SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVERISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST
COAST...AND FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST. 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL 
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO 
BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTHWARD FROM SAN 
EVERISTO TO LORETO ON THE EAST COAST.
  
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST OR ABOUT 125
MILES...200 KM...WEST OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 130
MILES...210 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JOHN IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS UP
TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CENTRAL WEST COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO AS WELL AS OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA.  THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS
OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM PDT POSITION...21.5 N...108.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC