Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Cent
er on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane JOHN


ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOHN ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
800 PM PDT FRI SEP 01 2006

...EYE OF HURRICANE JOHN MAKES LANDFALL NEAR CABO DEL ESTE IN
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNINGS NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA TO MULEGE...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF
MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE MAINLAND COAST OF MEXICO FROM ALTATA
TO GUAYMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN AND NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...BAJA
CALIFORNIA....AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF JOHN.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST.  THIS POSITION
IS NEAR LOS FRAILES MEXICO AND ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAN JOSE DEL CABO MEXICO.  THIS IS ALSO ABOUT
70 MILES...115 KM...SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO.  THE EYE OF JOHN
MADE LANDFALL NEAR CABO DEL ESTE AROUND 7 PM PDT..0200 UTC.
 
JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF JOHN NEAR THE
EASTERN COAST OF SOUTH BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JOHN IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
JOHN REMAINS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  THE WEST COAST OF CENTRAL
MEXICO COULD RECEIVE AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 18 INCHES POSSIBLE.   THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...23.4 N...109.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC