Tropical Storm EMILIA

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TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062006
1500 UTC SUN JUL 23 2006
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 107.4W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  80SE  50SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 107.4W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 107.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.8N 108.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  75SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.5N 110.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  85SE  55SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.2N 111.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  95SE  65SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.9N 113.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 22.3N 115.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 24.0N 118.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 26.0N 121.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 107.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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