Tropical Storm EMILIA

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TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062006
0900 UTC SUN JUL 23 2006
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 106.5W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  50SE  50SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 106.5W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 106.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.6N 107.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.3N 109.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.0N 110.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.7N 112.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 22.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 23.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 25.5N 120.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 106.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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