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Hurricane DANIEL


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
0300 UTC SUN JUL 23 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   4(15)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 148N 1345W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 148N 1345W 50 89   6(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 12 148N 1345W 64 69  12(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 
 24 154N 1364W 34 25  62(87)   6(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 24 154N 1364W 50  4  58(62)   9(71)   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 24 154N 1364W 64  1  37(38)  10(48)   X(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 
 36 159N 1380W 34  2  39(41)  32(73)   7(80)   2(82)   1(83)   X(83)
 36 159N 1380W 50  X  12(12)  31(43)   7(50)   2(52)   1(53)   X(53)
 36 159N 1380W 64  X   4( 4)  20(24)   5(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 48 163N 1393W 34  1   9(10)  36(46)  14(60)   9(69)   1(70)   X(70)
 48 163N 1393W 50  X   2( 2)  16(18)  12(30)   6(36)   1(37)   X(37)
 48 163N 1393W 64  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   8(15)   3(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
 
 72 170N 1410W 34  X   1( 1)  12(13)  16(29)  15(44)   6(50)   1(51)
 72 170N 1410W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   9(17)   3(20)   X(20)
 72 170N 1410W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 96 185N 1440W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   8(10)  10(20)   3(23)
 96 185N 1440W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 96 185N 1440W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 200N 1485W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)
120 200N 1485W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
120 200N 1485W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    115    100      90      80      70      60      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC