Hurricane DANIEL

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HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006
0900 UTC THU JUL 20 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 121.9W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 225SE 125SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 121.9W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 121.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 12.4N 123.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 13.0N 124.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.5N 126.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.0N 131.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 16.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 17.0N 137.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 121.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN
 
 
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