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Hurricane CARLOTTA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE CARLOTTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042006
2100 UTC THU JUL 13 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOTTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 34 47(81) 5(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
ISLA CLARION 50 2 38(40) 6(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
ISLA CLARION 64 X 16(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 184N 1131W 34 95 2(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 184N 1131W 50 59 14(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
12 184N 1131W 64 31 10(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
24 185N 1150W 34 19 57(76) 7(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
24 185N 1150W 50 1 33(34) 8(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
24 185N 1150W 64 X 13(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
36 186N 1167W 34 2 28(30) 27(57) 7(64) 2(66) X(66) X(66)
36 186N 1167W 50 X 3( 3) 16(19) 4(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
36 186N 1167W 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 185N 1185W 34 1 4( 5) 20(25) 17(42) 6(48) 1(49) X(49)
48 185N 1185W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15)
48 185N 1185W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 190N 1220W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15(21) 3(24) 1(25)
72 190N 1220W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
72 190N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 195N 1245W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12)
96 195N 1245W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 195N 1245W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 200N 1270W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
120 200N 1270W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 200N 1270W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 65 60 55 45 35 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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