Tropical Depression FOUR-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042006
0300 UTC WED JUL 12 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 11(11) 24(35) 10(45) X(45) X(45)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 34(45) 6(51) X(51)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 5(21) X(21)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 152N 1047W 34 30 13(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
12 152N 1047W 50 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 152N 1047W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 160N 1072W 34 1 40(41) 12(53) 2(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
24 160N 1072W 50 X 7( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
24 160N 1072W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 168N 1096W 34 X 5( 5) 41(46) 13(59) 3(62) X(62) X(62)
36 168N 1096W 50 X X( X) 13(13) 8(21) 2(23) 1(24) X(24)
36 168N 1096W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 174N 1118W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 32(45) 16(61) 2(63) X(63)
48 174N 1118W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 9(24) X(24) X(24)
48 174N 1118W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
72 181N 1154W 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 33(39) 9(48) 1(49)
72 181N 1154W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) X(18)
72 181N 1154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
96 195N 1180W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 14(28) 1(29)
96 195N 1180W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
96 195N 1180W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
120 220N 1200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12)
120 220N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 220N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 45 55 65 75 60 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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