Tropical Depression FOUR-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042006
800 PM PDT TUE JUL 11 2006

...FOURTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE 2006 SEASON DEVELOPS OFF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ALONG THE MEXICAN RIVIERA...
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.8 WEST OR ABOUT 240
MILES...390 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO AND ABOUT 260
MILES...415 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
WELL OFFSHORE THE COAST OF MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A COUPLE
HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE...THE LARGE CIRCULATION OF THIS SYSTEM WILL
GRADUALLY SPREAD OUTER RAINBANDS ONSHORE THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE MEXICAN RIVIERA FROM PUERTO ESCONDIDO WESTWARD TO
ZIHUATANEJO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...14.4 N...102.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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