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Hurricane BUD


ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7                   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006               
0900 UTC WED JUL 12 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85   
KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 157N 1170W 34 96   2(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 157N 1170W 50 73  12(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 12 157N 1170W 64 37  18(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
 
 24 166N 1194W 34  7  78(85)   7(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 24 166N 1194W 50  X  51(51)  12(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 24 166N 1194W 64  X  24(24)   9(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
 36 175N 1217W 34  1  18(19)  47(66)   8(74)   1(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 36 175N 1217W 50  X   2( 2)  27(29)   7(36)   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 36 175N 1217W 64  X   1( 1)  12(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
 48 185N 1241W 34  X   1( 1)  16(17)  27(44)   7(51)   X(51)   1(52)
 48 185N 1241W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 48 185N 1241W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 72 195N 1285W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   3(19)   1(20)
 72 195N 1285W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 72 195N 1285W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 195N 1325W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)
 96 195N 1325W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 195N 1325W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 190N 1360W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 190N 1360W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 190N 1360W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     90      75      60      45      35      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC