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Hurricane BUD


ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6                   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006               
0300 UTC WED JUL 12 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80   
KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.                                           
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 152N 1156W 34 96   2(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 152N 1156W 50 76  11(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 12 152N 1156W 64 38  18(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 
 24 160N 1177W 34 10  76(86)   7(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 24 160N 1177W 50  1  55(56)  13(69)   X(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)
 24 160N 1177W 64  X  27(27)  12(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 
 36 168N 1200W 34  1  18(19)  54(73)  11(84)   2(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 36 168N 1200W 50  X   3( 3)  40(43)  12(55)   2(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 36 168N 1200W 64  X   1( 1)  19(20)   9(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 48 173N 1223W 34  X   1( 1)  25(26)  35(61)  13(74)   1(75)   X(75)
 48 173N 1223W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)  26(32)  10(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 48 173N 1223W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   6(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
 
 72 175N 1260W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  32(41)   8(49)   1(50)
 72 175N 1260W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   4(20)   X(20)
 72 175N 1260W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 96 175N 1300W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  15(22)   2(24)
 96 175N 1300W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 96 175N 1300W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 175N 1340W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)
120 175N 1340W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 175N 1340W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90    100     100      95      80      65      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/STEWART                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC