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Tropical Storm ALETTA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012006               
0300Z MON MAY 29 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)   3(11)   1(12)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   5( 9)   3(12)   X(12)
 
L CARDENAS     34  1   6( 7)   9(16)   8(24)   7(31)   1(32)   1(33)
L CARDENAS     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  3  12(15)  11(26)   7(33)   4(37)   1(38)   1(39)
ZIHUATANEJO    50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
ACAPULCO       34 11  12(23)   7(30)   3(33)   2(35)   1(36)   X(36)
ACAPULCO       50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
P MALDONADO    34  2   3( 5)   3( 8)   3(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
P ANGEL        34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HUATULCO       34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 162N 1010W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 162N 1010W 50  5   4( 9)   2(11)   2(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 12 162N 1010W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 24 165N 1012W 34 26  18(44)   7(51)   3(54)   2(56)   1(57)   X(57)
 24 165N 1012W 50  3   5( 8)   4(12)   2(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 24 165N 1012W 64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 166N 1015W 34 13  20(33)  10(43)   5(48)   3(51)   1(52)   X(52)
 36 166N 1015W 50  2   5( 7)   5(12)   2(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 36 166N 1015W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 166N 1024W 34  3  10(13)  14(27)   8(35)   7(42)   2(44)   1(45)
 48 166N 1024W 50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 48 166N 1024W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 72 165N 1040W 34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   9(16)  11(27)   5(32)   2(34)
 72 165N 1040W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 72 165N 1040W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 165N 1055W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   9(15)   7(22)   2(24)
 96 165N 1055W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
 96 165N 1055W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 165N 1070W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)   4(16)
120 165N 1070W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
120 165N 1070W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      50      50      50      50      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC