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Tropical Storm ALETTA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012006               
0300Z SUN MAY 28 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)
 
L CARDENAS     34  1   4( 5)   5(10)   4(14)   8(22)   4(26)   1(27)
L CARDENAS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  3   8(11)   7(18)   4(22)   7(29)   3(32)   X(32)
ZIHUATANEJO    50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)
ZIHUATANEJO    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
ACAPULCO       34 14  15(29)   8(37)   4(41)   6(47)   1(48)   1(49)
ACAPULCO       50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)
ACAPULCO       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
P MALDONADO    34  2   6( 8)   6(14)   3(17)   8(25)   1(26)   1(27)
P MALDONADO    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
P ANGEL        34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)
 
HUATULCO       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 160N 1009W 34 64  12(76)   3(79)   X(79)   1(80)   1(81)   X(81)
 12 160N 1009W 50  5   5(10)   2(12)   2(14)   3(17)   2(19)   X(19)
 12 160N 1009W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 24 163N 1008W 34 50   9(59)   4(63)   2(65)   1(66)   2(68)   X(68)
 24 163N 1008W 50  3   6( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   4(17)   1(18)   X(18)
 24 163N 1008W 64  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 36 166N 1007W 34 32  16(48)   5(53)   2(55)   2(57)   1(58)   1(59)
 36 166N 1007W 50  2   5( 7)   4(11)   2(13)   3(16)   1(17)   1(18)
 36 166N 1007W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 169N 1007W 34 20  16(36)   8(44)   3(47)   3(50)   2(52)   X(52)
 48 169N 1007W 50  1   4( 5)   3( 8)   3(11)   2(13)   1(14)   1(15)
 48 169N 1007W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 170N 1010W 34 13  16(29)   8(37)   4(41)   3(44)   2(46)   1(47)
 72 170N 1010W 50  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   1(13)
 72 170N 1010W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 170N 1010W 34 13  16(29)   8(37)   4(41)   3(44)   2(46)   1(47)
 96 170N 1010W 50  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   1(13)
 96 170N 1010W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
120 170N 1010W 34 13  16(29)   8(37)   4(41)   3(44)   2(46)   1(47)
120 170N 1010W 50  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   1(13)
120 170N 1010W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      50      50      55      55      55
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC