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Hurricane HELENE


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  45.6W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
EYE DIAMETER  45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 180SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  45.6W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  45.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.5N  46.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.4N  48.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.1N  49.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.9N  50.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.5N  53.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 25.5N  56.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 28.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  45.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/LANDSEA
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Saturday, 16-Sep-2006 14:55:02 UTC