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Hurricane GORDON


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 321N  535W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 321N  535W 50 77   7(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 12 321N  535W 64 19   4(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
 24 336N  526W 34 30  51(81)   8(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 24 336N  526W 50  4  40(44)   7(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 24 336N  526W 64  X  10(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
 36 355N  505W 34  2  18(20)  43(63)   9(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 36 355N  505W 50  X   1( 1)  24(25)   8(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 36 355N  505W 64  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 376N  466W 34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  39(47)  10(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 48 376N  466W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   6(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 48 376N  466W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 395N  360W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 72 395N  360W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 72 395N  360W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     60     60      55      55      50       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Saturday, 16-Sep-2006 14:45:01 UTC