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Hurricane GORDON


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 293N  563W 34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 293N  563W 50 87   6(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 12 293N  563W 64 59  15(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 
 24 310N  550W 34 42  51(93)   2(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 310N  550W 50  4  62(66)   6(72)   2(74)   2(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 24 310N  550W 64  1  40(41)   8(49)   2(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 
 36 317N  543W 34  8  71(79)   8(87)   3(90)   2(92)   X(92)   1(93)
 36 317N  543W 50  1  39(40)  18(58)   5(63)   2(65)   1(66)   X(66)
 36 317N  543W 64  X  17(17)  16(33)   4(37)   1(38)   1(39)   X(39)
 
 48 325N  535W 34  2  46(48)  21(69)   9(78)   4(82)   1(83)   1(84)
 48 325N  535W 50  X  12(12)  21(33)  10(43)   6(49)   1(50)   1(51)
 48 325N  535W 64  X   4( 4)  12(16)   8(24)   4(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
 
 72 335N  520W 34  X  12(12)  23(35)  17(52)  12(64)   5(69)   1(70)
 72 335N  520W 50  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  11(19)  12(31)   3(34)   X(34)
 72 335N  520W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   7(14)   2(16)   X(16)
 
 
 96 370N  480W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)  17(30)   5(35)
 96 370N  480W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   2(13)
 96 370N  480W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
120 410N  400W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   9(13)
120 410N  400W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
120 410N  400W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    105    100      90      80      70      55      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Thursday, 14-Sep-2006 02:50:02 UTC