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Hurricane GORDON


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
2100 UTC WED SEP 13 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 285N  570W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 285N  570W 50 86   7(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 12 285N  570W 64 59  13(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 
 24 302N  559W 34 25  65(90)   4(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 24 302N  559W 50  4  61(65)   9(74)   1(75)   1(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 24 302N  559W 64  1  38(39)  12(51)   X(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 
 36 315N  547W 34  2  47(49)  29(78)   6(84)   4(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 36 315N  547W 50  X  15(15)  36(51)   8(59)   3(62)   1(63)   X(63)
 36 315N  547W 64  X   5( 5)  23(28)   6(34)   1(35)   1(36)   X(36)
 
 48 325N  537W 34  X  14(14)  44(58)  14(72)   7(79)   2(81)   X(81)
 48 325N  537W 50  X   2( 2)  24(26)  16(42)   6(48)   2(50)   X(50)
 48 325N  537W 64  X   X( X)  11(11)  11(22)   4(26)   X(26)   1(27)
 
 
 72 340N  520W 34  X   1( 1)  18(19)  22(41)  18(59)   6(65)   1(66)
 72 340N  520W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)  14(29)   4(33)   1(34)
 72 340N  520W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   9(14)   1(15)   1(16)
 
 
 96 370N  480W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)  19(33)   6(39)
 96 370N  480W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   3(15)
 96 370N  480W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
 
120 415N  405W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  11(16)
120 415N  405W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
120 415N  405W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    100     95      90      85      70      60      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 13-Sep-2006 20:50:01 UTC