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Tropical Depression SEVEN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 203N 553W 34 17 14(31) 3(34) 2(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37)
12 203N 553W 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 203N 553W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 207N 564W 34 6 26(32) 9(41) 4(45) 1(46) 1(47) X(47)
24 207N 564W 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 207N 564W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 214N 578W 34 1 10(11) 23(34) 6(40) 5(45) X(45) 1(46)
36 214N 578W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
36 214N 578W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
48 222N 590W 34 X 3( 3) 15(18) 15(33) 8(41) 1(42) 1(43)
48 222N 590W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13)
48 222N 590W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
72 245N 610W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 18(28) 7(35) 2(37)
72 245N 610W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) 1(11)
72 245N 610W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 270N 625W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 10(23) 4(27)
96 270N 625W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8)
96 270N 625W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
120 295N 625W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 7(20)
120 295N 625W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 295N 625W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 45 45 45 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BERG
NNNN
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