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Tropical Storm FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
1500 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10)
PONCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13)
SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 3(16)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 3(15)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12)
ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 179N 489W 34 74 5(79) X(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
12 179N 489W 50 5 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
12 179N 489W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 186N 509W 34 12 49(61) 8(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
24 186N 509W 50 X 12(12) 6(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
24 186N 509W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 193N 530W 34 1 17(18) 34(52) 7(59) 3(62) X(62) X(62)
36 193N 530W 50 X 1( 1) 13(14) 6(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22)
36 193N 530W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 201N 553W 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 24(43) 12(55) 1(56) 1(57)
48 201N 553W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 6(20) 1(21) X(21)
48 201N 553W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
72 216N 595W 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 30(37) 9(46) 3(49)
72 216N 595W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 5(19) 2(21)
72 216N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 2(10)
96 233N 638W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 20(30) 9(39)
96 233N 638W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16)
96 233N 638W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
120 255N 675W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 13(27)
120 255N 675W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11)
120 255N 675W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 55 65 75 85
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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