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Tropical Storm ERNESTO


ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
0300 UTC TUE AUG 29 2006

CORRECTED TO ADD LAKE OKEECHOBEE TO THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND
HURRICANE WATCH
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE
WATCH ARE EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM
CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A
HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM VERO BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE
EAST COAST...FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...FOR
LAKE OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...FROM OCEAN REEF
TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH
NORTHWARD TO ENGLEWOOD ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF VERO BEACH TO NEW
SMYRNA BEACH ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
ANDROS ISLAND...THE BERRY ISLANDS... THE BIMINIS AND GRAND BAHAMA
ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RAGGED ISLAND AND
GREAT EXUMA IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS...
AND CAMAGUEY.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  77.8W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  77.8W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  77.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.0N  79.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 24.6N  80.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.4N  80.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 28.5N  81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.0N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  45SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 36.5N  78.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 39.0N  77.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N  77.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC