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Tropical Storm ERNESTO


ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
2100 UTC MON AUG 28 2006
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS BEING ISSUED
FOR FLORIDA FROM VERO BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...FROM
SOUTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE
DRY TORTUGAS.  THESE AREAS ALSO REMAIN UNDER A HURRICANE WATCH.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS BEING ISSUED FROM
CHOKOLOSKEE NORTHWARD TO ENGLEWOOD ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF VERO BEACH TO NEW
SMYRNA BEACH ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANDROS ISLAND...THE BERRY ISLANDS... THE
BIMINIS AND...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
THESE ISLANDS ALSO REMAIN UNDER A HURRICANE WATCH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RAGGED ISLAND AND
GREAT EXUMA IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS... AND
CAMAGUEY.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  76.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 175SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  76.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  76.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.5N  78.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 24.3N  79.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 26.1N  80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 27.8N  80.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 32.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 36.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 40.0N  78.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N  76.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC