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Tropical Depression ALBERTO


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006               
1500Z WED JUN 14 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 35.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  38(41)   X(41)   X(41)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)  23(46)   X(46)   X(46)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   X(13)   X(13)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  33(34)   7(41)   X(41)   X(41)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)   3(26)   X(26)   X(26)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)  11(11)  19(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  23(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)  29(29)  29(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)  20(20)   6(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   1( 1)  14(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X  11(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  3   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NORFOLK VA     34 16   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 370N  754W 34 18   8(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 12 370N  754W 50  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 370N  754W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 398N  686W 34  X  49(49)  11(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 24 398N  686W 50  X  10(10)   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 24 398N  686W 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 430N  620W 34  X   X( X)  50(50)  10(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 36 430N  620W 50  X   X( X)  14(14)   8(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 36 430N  620W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 460N  560W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  39(41)   7(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 48 460N  560W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 48 460N  560W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 530N  350W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  26(26)   7(33)   X(33)
 72 530N  350W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)
 72 530N  350W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 560N  200W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   5(26)
 96 560N  200W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
 96 560N  200W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 570N  100W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)
120 570N  100W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
120 570N  100W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     45      50      50      45      40      35
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC