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Tropical Depression ALBERTO


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006               
0900Z WED JUN 14 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  40(41)   1(42)   X(42)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  32(41)   X(41)   X(41)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   X(13)   X(13)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  16(31)   X(31)   X(31)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   8(16)   X(16)   X(16)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  39(41)   2(43)   X(43)   X(43)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   2( 2)  12(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  3  23(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
RALEIGH NC     34 11   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  6  17(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 16   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34 19   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 357N  777W 34 25   7(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 12 357N  777W 50  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 357N  777W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 385N  720W 34  X  36(36)  10(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 24 385N  720W 50  X   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 385N  720W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 410N  650W 34  X   X( X)  41(41)   9(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 36 410N  650W 50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 410N  650W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 445N  570W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  39(39)   9(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 48 445N  570W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 48 445N  570W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 520N  410W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  27(27)   6(33)   1(34)
 72 520N  410W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
 72 520N  410W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 570N  220W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)   5(25)
 96 570N  220W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
 96 570N  220W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 600N  130W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  10(18)
120 600N  130W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
120 600N  130W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      45      40      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC