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Tropical Storm ALBERTO


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006               
2100Z MON JUN 12 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   8(16)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   6(16)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   5(17)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)
MONCTON NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   5(13)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   4(12)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)
PORTLAND ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   2(12)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   2(15)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)   2(17)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   1(12)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   X(13)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
NEW YORK CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   2(14)   X(14)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   1(13)   1(14)
DOVER DE       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   1(11)   1(12)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)   2(22)   X(22)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   X(18)   1(19)
RICHMOND VA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  24(28)   2(30)   X(30)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   8(16)   X(16)   X(16)
GREENSBORO NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  15(23)   X(23)   X(23)
RALEIGH NC     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  33(39)   2(41)   X(41)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   X(16)   X(16)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)
CHARLOTTE NC   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  28(39)   1(40)   X(40)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   X(15)   X(15)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)  14(18)  19(37)   1(38)   X(38)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   1(13)   X(13)
WILMINGTON NC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   5( 5)   8(13)  11(24)   5(29)   X(29)   X(29)
COLUMBIA SC    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)  16(25)  11(36)   X(36)   X(36)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  1   9(10)  13(23)  13(36)   5(41)   X(41)   X(41)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)
CHARLESTON SC  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  1  10(11)   9(20)   8(28)   3(31)   X(31)   X(31)
AUGUSTA GA     50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  5  24(29)  15(44)   6(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   4( 4)   7(11)   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
SAVANNAH GA    64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34 47  23(70)   5(75)   X(75)   1(76)   X(76)   X(76)
JACKSONVILLE   50  1  20(21)   5(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
JACKSONVILLE   64  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34 41  12(53)   2(55)   X(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  1   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ORLANDO FL     34 42   7(49)   1(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
ORLANDO FL     50  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34 18   8(26)   1(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34 10   4(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  5   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
MIAMI FL       34  4   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MARATHON FL    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  8   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
FT MYERS FL    34 18   4(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
VENICE FL      34 51   2(53)   X(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
VENICE FL      50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TAMPA FL       34 78   2(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
TAMPA FL       50 20   3(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL   50 71   8(79)   1(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
CEDAR KEY FL   64 10   6(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 57  10(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  9  13(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ST MARKS FL    34 75   7(82)   X(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
ST MARKS FL    50 24  15(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
ST MARKS FL    64  2   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
APALACHICOLA   34 71   2(73)   X(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
APALACHICOLA   50 19   2(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
APALACHICOLA   64  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 60   1(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 26   4(30)   1(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  4   5( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  5   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MOBILE AL      34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 289N  841W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 289N  841W 50 97   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 289N  841W 64 27   4(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
 24 304N  830W 34 74  16(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 24 304N  830W 50 17  34(51)   1(52)   1(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 24 304N  830W 64  1   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 36 321N  819W 34  7  30(37)  13(50)   5(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 36 321N  819W 50  X   6( 6)   5(11)   1(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 36 321N  819W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 340N  800W 34  X   3( 3)   9(12)  14(26)   7(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 48 340N  800W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 48 340N  800W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 370N  720W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  29(30)   4(34)   X(34)
 72 370N  720W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   2(13)   X(13)
 72 370N  720W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 420N  650W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   5(21)
 96 420N  650W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)
 96 420N  650W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
 
120 470N  570W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
120 470N  570W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 470N  570W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     50      30      30      40      40      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC