Tropical Depression ONE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006
1500Z SAT JUN 10 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE RECOMMENDED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  85.6W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  85.6W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  85.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.9N  86.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.7N  86.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.8N  85.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.0N  81.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 36.5N  74.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 45.0N  63.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  85.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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