Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm ALBERTO


ZCZC MIATCDAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012006
1100 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006
 
ALBERTO HAS ACCELERATED NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...AND
BANDING FEATURES HAVE REMAINED INTACT IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE.
WSR-88D DOPPLER VELOCITIES FROM CHARLESTON AND JACKSONVILLE
INDICATED A FAIRLY LONG AND WIDE SWATH OF 50-KT AND STRONGER WINDS
EXTENDING FROM 1000 THROUGH 8000 FT ASL ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST AND
INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. WHILE THE CONVECTION IS NOT
PARTICULARLY IMPRESSIVE... IT APPEARS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BRING
DOWN ABOUT 75 PERCENT OF THOSE WINDS TO THE SURFACE AS A 1-MINUTE
SUSTAINED WIND...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS OF 45-50 KT. NUMEROUS REPORTS
OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED BY STRONG WINDS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED
FROM SAVANNAH AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO...NOAA BUOY 41008 OFF THE
GEORGIA COAST REPORTED A 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND OF 31 KT WITH A
GUST TO 39 KT AT A 5-METER HEIGHT. THEREFORE... ALBERTO WILL REMAIN
A TROPICAL STORM FOR THIS ADVISORY... AND COASTAL TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND NORTHWARD TO SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER.
 
THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK OR
REASONING. A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD ALBERTO AND
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE THE CYCLONE NORTHEASTWARD OFF THE U.S. EAST
COAST DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS... AND THEN MORE EASTWARD AFTER
THAT. THIS SCENARIO IS CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE VERY TIGHTLY
PACKED NHC MODEL GUIDANCE AND THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK.

ALBERTO IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A FRONT OVER NORTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA OR SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BY 12-18 HOURS. GIVEN THE
AMPLITUDE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED DEEP-LAYER TROUGH...STRENGTHENING
INTO A SIGNIFICANT EXTRATROPICAL GALE AREA OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA
OUTER BANKS SEEMS QUITE PLAUSIBLE AT THIS TIME. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE
THAT ALBERTO MAY NOT DROP BELOW TROPICAL STORM STATUS BEFORE
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OCCURS... WHICH WOULD REQUIRE A NORTHWARD 
EXTENSION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT ADVISORY.
 
THERE IS A THREAT OF FLOODING DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
 
FORECASTER STEWART

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      14/0300Z 31.8N  82.3W    35 KT
 12HR VT     14/1200Z 33.6N  80.2W    30 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     15/0000Z 36.4N  75.2W    35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     15/1200Z 39.6N  68.7W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     16/0000Z 43.0N  62.0W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     17/0000Z 49.5N  47.5W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     18/0000Z 54.0N  30.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT     19/0000Z 55.0N  10.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

$$
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC