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Hurricane OTIS


ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OTIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM PDT FRI SEP 30 2005
 
...OTIS HESITATES...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA
ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS.  HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA ON THE NEXT ADVISORY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD TO EAST OF
CABO SAN LUCAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO NORTHWARD TO LORETO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NEAR BOTH COASTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OTIS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST OR ABOUT  135 MILES...
215 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT
220 MILES... 355 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
OTIS HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A 
NORTH-NORTHWEST TRACK WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THE CENTER OF OTIS IS CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO REMAIN WEST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER... ANY
MOTION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER
NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OTIS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND OTIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON SATURDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  80 MILES...130 KM.  HOWEVER... WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... AND SPREADING
NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...21.7 N...111.6 W.  MOVEMENT...
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
2 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/LAUER
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Saturday, 01-Oct-2005 05:55:19 UTC