Tropical Storm ARLENE

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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON JUN 13 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.2N  87.2W      42  1  X  X 43   MOBILE AL          X 17  7  1 25
28.5N  88.3W       5 26  X  X 31   GULFPORT MS        X 20  6  X 26
31.0N  88.8W       X 15  9  1 25   BURAS LA           X 24  3  X 27
MUSN 216N 826W     2  X  X  X  2   NEW ORLEANS LA     X 18  5  1 24
MUAN 219N 850W    99  X  X  X 99   NEW IBERIA LA      X  7  8  1 16
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  3  3  6
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3   GALVESTON TX       X  X  1  2  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  7  4  1 12
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  2  3   GULF 29N 87W       1 22  2  X 25
ST MARKS FL        X  1  4  3  8   GULF 28N 89W       9 21  X  X 30
APALACHICOLA FL    X  4  6  2 12   GULF 28N 91W       1 13  2  1 17
PANAMA CITY FL     X  6  7  2 15   GULF 28N 93W       X  1  3  1  5
PENSACOLA FL       X 14  7  1 22
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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