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Tropical Storm HILARY


ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082005
1500Z SAT AUG 20 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 102.1W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 102.1W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 101.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.3N 104.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.1N 106.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.9N 109.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.9N 111.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 20.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 22.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 102.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Saturday, 20-Aug-2005 14:55:10 UTC