Tropical Depression FOUR-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  
1...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042005
0400Z MON JUL 04 2005

CORRECTED ADVISORY INITIAL INTENSITY GUSTS TO 40 KT
 
AT 900 PM PDT...0400Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF
MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO.
 
AT 900 PM PDT...0400Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO WESTWARD TO PUNTA SEL TELMO.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  99.6W AT 04/0400Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  99.6W AT 04/0400Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  99.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.4N 100.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.2N 101.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.9N 102.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.8N 103.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.0N 106.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 19.5N 110.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 20.0N 114.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  99.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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