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Hurricane WILMA


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL242005
2100Z WED OCT 19 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO TULUM ON
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR SWAN ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF TULUM TO
CHETUMAL MEXICO...AND FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO
SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF TULUM TO PUNTA GRUESA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  83.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  892 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 200SE 175SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  83.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  83.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.0N  84.6W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.2N  85.6W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.4N  86.2W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.6N  86.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N  79.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 36.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  83.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 19-Oct-2005 20:55:05 UTC