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Hurricane DENNIS


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042005
2100Z SAT JUL 09 2005

CORRECTED PRESSURE/LOWERED TO 955 MB BASED ON NEW RECON DATA

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE
MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA
KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR
THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING
THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO...
AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND
ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  84.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT.......100NE  75SE  30SW  55NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  75SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  80SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  84.6W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  84.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.5N  85.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.9N  87.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT...105NE  85SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.3N  88.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 34.2N  89.3W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 37.0N  89.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 38.0N  87.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 39.0N  82.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N  84.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Saturday, 09-Jul-2005 21:10:01 UTC