Hurricane IVAN

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HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 07 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI SEP 10 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.5N  67.7W      52  1  X  X 53   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X 16  5 21
14.7N  70.7W       1 33  X  X 34   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  5 15 20
16.0N  73.5W       X  4 22  X 26   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  1 18 19
SKPG 125N 717W     X 12  2  X 14   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 10 10
TNCC 122N 690W    16  9  X  X 25   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  3 13 16
SVMG 110N 640W    19  X  X  X 19   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X 12 12
TTPP 106N 614W    15  X  X  X 15   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  7  7
TTPT 112N 608W    99  X  X  X 99   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  4  4
TGPY 120N 618W    99  X  X  X 99   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  2  2
TVSV 131N 612W    93  X  X  X 93   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  5  3  8
TLPL 138N 610W    12  X  X  X 12   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  2  3
TJPS 180N 666W     X  2  X  X  2   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  3  3
MDSD 185N 697W     X  5  6  1 12   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  3  3
MDCB 176N 714W     X  9 13  1 23   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2
MTPP 186N 724W     X  1 15  3 19   PONCE PR           X  2  X  X  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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