Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane IVAN


ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 07 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI SEP 10 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.5N  67.7W      52  1  X  X 53   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X 16  5 21
14.7N  70.7W       1 33  X  X 34   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  5 15 20
16.0N  73.5W       X  4 22  X 26   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  1 18 19
SKPG 125N 717W     X 12  2  X 14   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 10 10
TNCC 122N 690W    16  9  X  X 25   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  3 13 16
SVMG 110N 640W    19  X  X  X 19   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X 12 12
TTPP 106N 614W    15  X  X  X 15   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  7  7
TTPT 112N 608W    99  X  X  X 99   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  4  4
TGPY 120N 618W    99  X  X  X 99   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  2  2
TVSV 131N 612W    93  X  X  X 93   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  5  3  8
TLPL 138N 610W    12  X  X  X 12   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  2  3
TJPS 180N 666W     X  2  X  X  2   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  3  3
MDSD 185N 697W     X  5  6  1 12   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  3  3
MDCB 176N 714W     X  9 13  1 23   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2
MTPP 186N 724W     X  1 15  3 19   PONCE PR           X  2  X  X  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
$$
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 07-Sep-2004 20:53:17 UTC