Tropical Depression SEVEN
ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT AUG 28 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT TUE AUG 31 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.5N 79.5W 99 X X X 99 OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 7 8
32.2N 79.9W 50 X X X 50 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 5 5
33.0N 80.0W 28 1 X 1 30 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 3 3
FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL X 1 1 2 4 TAMPA FL X X 1 2 3
DAYTONA BEACH FL 4 2 1 2 9 CEDAR KEY FL X 2 2 3 7
JACKSONVILLE FL 11 4 1 1 17 ST MARKS FL X 2 3 3 8
SAVANNAH GA 22 2 1 X 25 APALACHICOLA FL X 1 1 3 5
CHARLESTON SC 30 1 X 1 32 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 3 5
MYRTLE BEACH SC 17 3 2 1 23 PENSACOLA FL X X 1 2 3
WILMINGTON NC 7 7 3 3 20 MOBILE AL X X X 2 2
MOREHEAD CITY NC 1 7 4 4 16 GULF 29N 85W X X 1 3 4
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 3 4 6 13 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
NORFOLK VA X 1 4 7 12
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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