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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI AUG 27 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT MON AUG 30 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.0N  79.5W      64  X  X  X 64   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  3  7 10
32.8N  80.0W      37  X  X  1 38   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  6  7
33.7N  79.4W      25  1  1  1 28   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
COCOA BEACH FL     X  1  X  2  3   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  3  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL   2  2  1  2  7   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    8  3  2  1 14   TAMPA FL           X  X  1  1  2
SAVANNAH GA       22  2  X  1 25   CEDAR KEY FL       X  1  2  2  5
CHARLESTON SC     36  X  X  X 36   ST MARKS FL        X  2  2  3  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC   24  2  1  X 27   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  2  2  4
WILMINGTON NC     12  5  2  2 21   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  3  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   2  7  4  4 17   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  3  5  6 14   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  2  3
NORFOLK VA         X  2  6  6 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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