Hurricane CHARLEY
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HURRICANE CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT TUE AUG 17 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
39.0N 75.5W 25 7 1 X 33 NEW YORK CITY NY 7 20 X X 27
43.5N 72.0W X 18 4 X 22 MONTAUK POINT NY 1 19 2 X 22
47.0N 67.0W X X 13 X 13 PROVIDENCE RI X 18 3 X 21
DAYTONA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 NANTUCKET MA X 11 5 X 16
JACKSONVILLE FL 99 X X X 99 HYANNIS MA X 13 5 X 18
SAVANNAH GA 52 X X X 52 BOSTON MA X 16 4 X 20
CHARLESTON SC 79 X X X 79 PORTLAND ME X 11 8 X 19
MYRTLE BEACH SC 72 X X X 72 BAR HARBOR ME X 4 12 X 16
WILMINGTON NC 59 X X X 59 EASTPORT ME X 1 13 X 14
MOREHEAD CITY NC 39 X X X 39 ST JOHN NB X X 11 X 11
CAPE HATTERAS NC 25 1 X X 26 MONCTON NB X X 8 X 8
NORFOLK VA 38 1 X X 39 YARMOUTH NS X 1 9 X 10
OCEAN CITY MD 26 6 X X 32 HALIFAX NS X X 5 X 5
ATLANTIC CITY NJ 17 13 X X 30 EDDY POINT NS X X 2 X 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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