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Hurricane CHARLEY
ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED AUG 11 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
20.5N 81.5W 49 X X X 49 SAVANNAH GA X X X 26 26
23.2N 82.5W 2 34 X X 36 CHARLESTON SC X X X 24 24
26.0N 82.5W X 10 19 1 30 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 21 21
MKJP 179N 768W 59 X X X 59 WILMINGTON NC X X X 18 18
MKJS 185N 779W 65 X X X 65 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 12 12
MWCG 193N 814W 51 X X X 51 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 7 7
MUCM 214N 779W 2 X X X 2 NORFOLK VA X X X 7 7
MUCF 221N 805W 23 9 X X 32 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W 26 14 X X 40 KEY WEST FL X 26 4 1 31
MUHA 230N 824W 3 34 X X 37 MARCO ISLAND FL X 10 17 1 28
MUAN 219N 850W 1 17 1 X 19 FT MYERS FL X 5 21 3 29
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 1 2 VENICE FL X 2 23 5 30
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 1 2 TAMPA FL X X 21 8 29
MYGF 266N 787W X X 6 7 13 CEDAR KEY FL X X 12 16 28
MARATHON FL X 21 5 X 26 ST MARKS FL X X 3 20 23
MIAMI FL X 6 13 2 21 APALACHICOLA FL X X 4 16 20
W PALM BEACH FL X 2 14 5 21 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 15 17
FT PIERCE FL X 1 13 9 23 PENSACOLA FL X X X 7 7
COCOA BEACH FL X X 13 12 25 MOBILE AL X X X 2 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 9 18 27 GULF 29N 85W X X 8 13 21
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 3 24 27 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 8 9
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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