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Tropical Storm LESTER


ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152004
0300Z WED OCT 13 2004
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD
TO ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  99.8W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  99.8W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  99.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.8N 100.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.0N 101.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  45SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.0N 102.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.0N 103.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.0N 105.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 17.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 18.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  99.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 13-Oct-2004 02:25:12 UTC