Hurricane JAVIER
ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132004
0900Z FRI SEP 17 2004
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JAVIER.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 111.7W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 111.7W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 111.5W
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.2N 112.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.6N 113.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 25.4N 114.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 27.5N 114.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.0N 112.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...INLAND
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...INLAND
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 111.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
FORECASTER SISKO/AVILA
$$
NNNN