Hurricane HOWARD

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TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112004
2100Z SAT SEP 04 2004
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 118.5W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 118.5W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 118.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.0N 119.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.5N 120.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 25.9N 121.3W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 26.0N 122.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.0N 124.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 118.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
 
 
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