Hurricane HOWARD

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HURRICANE HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112004
2100Z FRI SEP 03 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 116.2W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 116.2W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 115.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.5N 116.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.8N 117.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.0N 118.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  45SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.0N 119.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 28.0N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 28.0N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 116.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH/HOLWEG
 
 
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