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Hurricane KARL


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122004
1500Z SUN SEP 19 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  42.9W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  42.9W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  42.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.8N  44.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.7N  46.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.9N  47.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.6N  48.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 25.4N  48.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 32.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 41.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  42.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Sunday, 19-Sep-2004 14:22:30 UTC