Hurricane JEANNE

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HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112004
0300Z SAT SEP 25 2004
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...
ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.  A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA
SOUND GEORGIA.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND
SAN SALVADOR.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE SUWANEE RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD
ALONG THE WEST COAST TO THE SUWANEE RIVER...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  74.9W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT.......100NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 105SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 400SE 400SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  74.9W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  74.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 26.6N  76.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 105SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 27.2N  79.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 28.0N  81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.5N  81.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.5N  80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 37.5N  75.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 42.5N  66.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  74.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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