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Hurricane JEANNE


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112004
2100Z FRI SEP 24 2004
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE
WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO
ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...
ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.  A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO
ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND
SAN SALVADOR.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTH OF
FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST TO ANCLOTE KEY...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  73.5W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......120NE 105SE 105SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 400SE 400SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  73.5W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  73.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 26.5N  75.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 105SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 26.6N  77.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 27.4N  80.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 29.0N  81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 32.5N  81.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 36.0N  75.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 41.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N  73.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 24-Sep-2004 20:32:37 UTC