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Tropical Storm JEANNE


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112004
1500Z WED SEP 15 2004
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
EASTERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABREERA SOUTHWARD TO
ISLA SAONA.  A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM
WARNING ARE EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABRERA TO PUERTO PLATA.  A HURRICANE
WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO SANTO
DOMINGO.
 
AT 11 AM AST...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND
THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  65.8W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  65.8W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  65.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.3N  66.9W...OVER PUERTO RICO
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.2N  68.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.2N  70.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.1N  71.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.0N  74.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 25.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 28.0N  77.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  65.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 15-Sep-2004 14:42:32 UTC