Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane IVAN


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092004
1500Z WED SEP 08 2004
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND
CURACAO.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA OF COLOMBIA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE NORTHERN
COAST OF VENEZUELA.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM
THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD...INCLUDING PORT AU
PRINCE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO WESTWARD TO
PEDERNALES.
 
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  66.2W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
50 KT.......100NE  75SE  35SW 100NW.
34 KT.......140NE 125SE  50SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 140SE 140SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  66.2W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  65.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 13.3N  68.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  60SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 14.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  80SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.5N  76.0W NEARING JAMAICA
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.5N  79.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 22.5N  82.0W  OVER CUBA
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 26.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  66.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
$$
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Wednesday, 08-Sep-2004 14:52:25 UTC