|
|
Hurricane IVAN
ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004
1500Z SUN SEP 05 2004
INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IVAN.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 46.0W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 46.0W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 45.1W
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 10.6N 48.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 11.5N 52.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.4N 55.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 13.3N 59.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 17.5N 71.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 20.5N 75.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.9N 46.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
NNNN
|
|
|
|
|
weather.gov
