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Hurricane FRANCES


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
0900Z MON SEP 06 2004
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST
OF FLORIDA FROM ANNA MARIA ISLAND NORTHWARD TO DESTIN.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA
WEST COAST FROM SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.  ALSO...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM SOUTH
OF COCOA BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM SOUTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO ENGLEWOOD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST AND THE GEORGIA COAST FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD
TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
  
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  83.5W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......125NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT.......175NE 125SE 150SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 200SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  83.5W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  83.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 29.9N  84.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 31.2N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 32.4N  85.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 33.9N  85.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 37.8N  83.0W...INLAND BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 42.5N  78.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N  83.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 06-Sep-2004 08:42:22 UTC