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Hurricane DANIELLE


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042004
1500Z MON AUG 16 2004
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  37.7W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  37.7W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  37.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.5N  38.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.8N  40.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 24.1N  41.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 26.6N  41.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 30.5N  40.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 34.0N  37.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 37.0N  31.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N  37.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/LAWRENCE
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 16-Aug-2004 14:52:14 UTC